Economic Cycle Prediction
Actual Level
2.20
Predicted Level
1.55
Objective
- This GDP Nowcast provides a high-frequency assessment of the economic cycle, bridging the gap between delayed official releases and real-time conditions
Inputs
- The model analyzes 35 macro-financial signals, including GDP components, inflation (CPI, PCE), interest rate structures, and equity market
Output
- By providing a continuous reading of economic growth, the model's historical alignment with official figures validates its ability to capture cyclical momentum and detect early acceleration or slowdowns